Fluminense vs Internacional Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews for this Braisileiro clash. Fluminense, aiming to end a six-match losing streak, host Internacional at Maracana Stadium in Brasileiro Serie A’s round 14 on Thursday. Read on for our free predictions and tips.

Brasileiro | Jul 5, 2024 at 12am UK at Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

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Fluminense vs Internacional Predictions

Can Fluminense End Their Drought Against Internacional?

In a pivotal Brasileiro Serie A clash, Fluminense will host Internacional at the Maracana Stadium, seeking to end their dismal run of form. Fluminense, anchored at the bottom of the table, will face a determined Internacional side aiming to break their winless streak against the hosts.

Current Form and Team Analysis

Fluminense are experiencing a challenging season, languishing at the bottom of the league with a mere six points from thirteen matches. Their recent form has been particularly alarming, suffering six consecutive defeats. Their offensive woes are evident, having failed to score in their last four games, resulting in only ten goals this season, placing them among the lowest-scoring teams in the league.

Under Mano Menezes, Fluminense have struggled to find any consistency. The team’s lack of firepower upfront and frequent defensive lapses have been glaring issues. Their most recent outing saw them fall 1-0 to Gremio, further compounding their misery. The absence of key players such as Lucumi (suspended) and several injured players has also contributed to their difficulties.

Internacional, on the other hand, have had a mixed season. With five wins, three draws, and three losses from eleven matches, they sit tenth in the standings. Their form has been inconsistent, highlighted by a recent 1-1 draw against Criciuma. Despite this, Eduardo Coudet’s men have shown resilience, with notable victories that have kept them within reach of the top half of the table.

Internacional’s strength lies in their solid defensive record, having conceded only eight goals this season. Their ability to grind out results, particularly on the road, has been impressive. However, they will be without key players like Rafael Borre and Enner Valencia, who are on international duty, which could impact their attacking prowess.

Expected Goals Analysis

Fluminense’s expected goals (xG) metrics reveal a team that struggles to create and convert scoring opportunities. Averaging 0.8 goals per game, their xG suggests that they are underperforming in front of goal. Defensively, they concede 1.6 goals per game, indicating a porous backline that struggles under pressure.

Internacional, in contrast, average 0.9 goals per game, with their xG reflecting a slightly more efficient conversion rate. Defensively, they have been solid, conceding just 0.7 goals per game. This defensive robustness has been a key factor in their ability to secure points even when not at their best offensively.

Key Matchup Areas and Player Duels

The midfield battle between Fluminense’s Martinelli and Internacional’s Thiago Maia will be crucial. Martinelli’s role in breaking up play and driving forward will be pivotal against Maia’s control and distribution. Additionally, the duel between Fluminense’s German Cano and Internacional’s centre-backs, particularly Vitão, could determine the effectiveness of Fluminense’s attack.

In the wide areas, Fluminense’s Keno will look to exploit the flanks with his pace and dribbling ability. Internacional’s full-backs, especially Renê, will need to be vigilant to contain this threat and prevent dangerous crosses into the box.

Gameplay Expectations

Given both teams’ current form and tactical setups, this match is expected to be a tight and competitive affair. Internacional will likely adopt a cautious approach, focusing on maintaining their defensive solidity and hitting Fluminense on the counter. Fluminense, on the other hand, will be desperate to break their losing streak and may take a more aggressive stance, seeking to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities.

Internacional’s defensive discipline and ability to absorb pressure will be tested against a Fluminense side eager to end their goal drought. The hosts will need to be wary of Internacional’s counter-attacking threat, especially given their own defensive vulnerabilities.

Managerial Insights and Criticisms

Mano Menezes has faced significant criticism for Fluminense’s dire form. His inability to inspire the team and rectify their attacking deficiencies has been a major concern. The lack of creativity and clinical finishing has plagued his tenure, raising questions about his tactical approach and player management.

Eduardo Coudet, while more successful, has also faced challenges with consistency. His defensive setup has been commendable, but the lack of a cutting edge in attack, exacerbated by the absence of key forwards, has hindered Internacional’s progress. Coudet needs to find a balance between defensive solidity and offensive potency to push his team higher up the table.

Strengths and Weaknesses

Fluminense’s primary strength lies in their ability to control possession, averaging 58.5% in matches. However, their weakness is their inability to convert possession into goals, as reflected in their poor scoring record. Defensively, they have been prone to errors, often leading to costly goals.

Internacional’s strength is their defensive organisation, conceding just 0.7 goals per game. Their ability to stay compact and disciplined has been crucial. However, their weakness lies in their attack, where they have struggled to score consistently, especially with key players missing.

Predictions

Best Bet: Internacional to Win and Both Teams to Score

Given Fluminense’s defensive struggles and Internacional’s solid defensive record, Internacional are favourites. However, Fluminense’s desperation and home advantage may see them find the net, making this a compelling bet.

Correct Score Prediction: Fluminense 1-2 Internacional

Aligning with the best bet, a 2-1 victory for Internacional seems likely. Fluminense’s recent form suggests they will struggle to keep a clean sheet, while Internacional’s solid defence and counter-attacking potential could see them score twice.

Goalscorer Prediction: German Cano to Score Anytime

German Cano has been one of the few bright spots for Fluminense, and given Internacional’s defensive setup, he will be crucial for the hosts. His ability to find space and finish chances makes him a strong candidate to score.

Corner Prediction: Internacional to Get More Corners and Total Over 9.5

Internacional average more corners per game, and with Fluminense likely to be on the back foot, Internacional should win more corners. Given both teams’ average, over 9.5 total corners is a reasonable prediction.

Innovative Market Prediction: Total Team Shots on Target Over 8.5

Both teams average a reasonable number of shots on target per game. Combining their averages suggests that a total of over 8.5 shots on target is feasible for this match, considering both teams’ attacking intents and defensive frailties.

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