Pick: Giants +110

I'm taking a shot on the San Francisco Giants and young starter Hayden Birdsong, who is 1-0 through two outings in MLB.

The Cleveland Guardians have struggled with Carlos Carrasco on the mound, going 6-9 in his outings while he's posted a 5.21 ERA.

Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlins Prediction and Pick

Pick: White Sox +124

Chicago is playing better as of late, winning five of its last 10 games, and it may have the edge over the struggling Miami Marlins on Sunday.

Miami is a dreadful 17-31 at home, and it looks to be going with a bullpen game in this matchup. Overall, Miami's 'pen is in the middle of the pack in ERA at 4.04. I don't mind a shot on the underdog in a matchup between two last-place teams.

Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction and Pick

Pick: Twins -125

I love the Minnesota Twins on Sunday, as they'll send Simeon Woods Richardson (3.52 ERA) to the mound against Houston's Spencer Arrighetti (6.13 ERA).

Houston is somehow 7-8 in Arrighetti's outings this season, but he has multiple outings with seven or more earned runs in the past month. I'll gladly take the Twins, who are 10-4 when Woods Richardson takes the mound in 2024.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction and Pick

Pick: Angeles +120

Chicago Cubs youngster Hayden Wesneski recently returned to the rotation, and it hasn't gone well, as he's allowed eight runs in two starts (9.0 innings of work) while the Cubs have gone 0-2.

I think that will move to 0-3 on Sunday against the Los Angeles Angels, who have Jose Soriano (3.77 ERA) on the bump.

The Cubbies are in last place in the NL Central, and I'm far from sold on their offense -- 23rd in MLB in OPS. The underdog is worth a shot on Sunday.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers Prediction and Pick

Pick: Rangers -135

Can the Texas Rangers win a third straight?

I'm willing to take a shot on them at home with Nathan Eovaldi (3.15 ERA) on the mound fresh off of seven scoreless innings in his first start of July.

Rays starter Zack Littell has been solid in 2024, but his ERA is much higher on the road (4.46) than it is at home (3.57). He's a fade candidate in this one.

Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction and Pick

Pick: Royals -162

Colorado Rockies starter Tanner Gordon is making his MLB debut on Sunday, but I don't think Colorado is going to pull off the win.

Brady Singer is on the bump for the Kansas City Royals, and he's been great in 2024, posting a 3.05 ERA and leading the Royals to a 10-7 record in his 17 starts. Trust the playoff-hopeful Royals to earn the win in this one.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Oakland A's Prediction and Pick

Pick: Orioles -198

It's been pretty clear this season that Baltimore is a far better team than the lowly Oakland A's, but today's starting pitching matchup furthers that case.

The Orioles are 11-4 when Grayson Rodriguez is on the mound in 2024, while the A's are just 2-7 in Mitch Spence's nine starts since he joined the rotation. I'll lay the juice with the O's on Sunday.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction and Pick

Pick: Dodgers -162

Milwaukee Brewers veteran Dallas Keuchel is in trouble on Sunday against a Los Angeles Dodgers offense that is No. 1 in MLB in OPS against left-handed pitching.

Keuchel has been in and out of the league the past few seasons, and he has a 6.75 ERA in two starts in 2024. I can't back him against one of baseball's best offenses on Sunday.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres Prediction and Pick

Pick: Padres -162

Is this a bounce-back spot for Dylan Cease, who allowed six runs in his last start for the San Diego Padres?

I think so, as he'll take on Arizona Diamondbacks starter Ryne Nelson (5.42 ERA), who was rocked by the Padres in his last outing against them, giving up six runs in 3.1 innings.

Cease (4.24 ERA) has a 3.28 FIP this season, a sign he's due for some positive regression.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction and Pick

Pick: Mariners -162

Seattle has been money at home this season (30-17), and it should tee off on Jose Berrios, who is due for some regression with a 5.07 FIP compared to his 3.63 ERA.

Plus, I love backing Mariners starter George Kirby, who has allowed two or fewer earned runs in six straight starts since the beginning of June, lowering his ERA to 3.32.

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Prediction and Pick

Pick: Red Sox +130

The Yankees bounced back from a bad loss on Friday night, scoring 14 runs on Saturday to beat Boston and even this three-game set, but can they pull off a win on Sunday Night Baseball?

I'm not sold on it, especially with the struggling Luis Gil on the mound. The rookie had been lights out through the first 2.5 months of the season, but his ERA has ballooned from 1.82 on June 4 to 3.41 heading into this start.

He did allow just one run over five frames in his last start against Boston, but Gil's lack of command as of late is something to worry about for Yankee fans. He's allowed 13 walks in his last four starts, giving him very little margin for error -- especially against an offense like Boston's.

With New York struggling over its last 20 games, I'll take Boston as a short underdog to win the series.

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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This article was originally published on www.si.com as Rounding the Bases: MLB Straight Up Picks for Every Game Today (How to Bet Red Sox-Yankees Game 3).

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This story was originally published July 7, 2024, 8:55 AM.