Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day: Europe
Good morning. The UK goes to the polls. Speculation mounts over President Biden’s future. And French markets brace for a second round of voting. Here’s what people are talking about.
The UK votes today to decide whether Labour Party leader Keir Starmer can end 14 years of opposition and win the keys to 10 Downing Street, or whether Prime Minister Rishi Sunak can buck the polls and claim what would be an extraordinary turnaround victory. Pollsters say the question is less about a Labour win than the scale of it. Starmer’s party has led the Conservatives by more than 20 points through the six-week election campaign, according to Bloomberg’s poll of polls. Every so-called MRP survey of the campaign — seen as the gold standard analysis technique — pointed to a Labour majority in the House of Commons, ranging from 162 to 382 seats. All bar the lowest of the potential outcomes would see Labour win more seats under Starmer than in Tony Blair’s 1997 landslide victory.